Why are 60% of European cars diesel, while China is under 1%?
Abstract
The article examines the debate around diesel passenger vehicles as fuel-consumption limits approach. Per MIIT requirements, the average fuel consumption of domestic passenger vehicle fleets must reach 6.9 L/100 km by end-2015 and fall to 5 L/100 km by 2020; while the 6.9 L target is seen as feasible, 5 L is called difficult. With conventional efficiency technologies stretched and Chinese buyers' preference for space, power and SUVs — SUV sales rose 46% year on year in the first half to 2.66 million units, over 26% of the passenger market — more carmakers are looking at clean-diesel technology and lightweight materials alongside new-energy vehicles.
On the numbers: versus equal-displacement petrol engines, diesel engines offer about 40% more torque, with CO2 and fuel consumption about 10% and 25% lower. In Europe, 60% of cars and over 80% of SUVs are diesel; in Korea the diesel passenger share rose at least 20 percentage points in 3–4 years; in China it stands at 0.5–0.8%, described as among the lowest globally. Historical factors — earlier diesel supply shortages prioritising agriculture, forestry and railways — are easing as demand falls; fuel quality is improving, with China IV diesel available nationwide from 1 January and China V diesel rolling out (11 eastern provinces from 1 January 2016, nationwide by early 2017). The article counts 86 diesel passenger models on sale in China versus 2 in 2002 (makers include Great Wall Haval, Land Rover, Dongfeng and JAC), but notes barriers: few subsidies for diesel cars, and diesel engines still costing more than petrol ones at current scale.
Key facts
- Regulation: fleet average fuel consumption 6.9 L/100 km by end-2015, 5 L/100 km by 2020 (MIIT)
- SUV demand: +46% YoY in the first half, 2.66 million units, over 26% of the passenger market
- Diesel advantage: about 40% more torque; CO2 about 10% and fuel consumption about 25% lower vs. equal-displacement petrol
- Market shares: Europe 60% of cars (over 80% of SUVs) diesel; China 0.5–0.8%
- Fuel rollout: China IV diesel nationwide from 1 January; China V from 1 January 2016 in 11 eastern provinces, nationwide by early 2017
- Model growth: 86 diesel passenger models on sale in China vs. 2 in 2002
- Barriers: few government subsidies; diesel engine cost still higher at low scale
The original article is in Chinese; see the Chinese version for the full text. This page provides the English title, abstract and key facts only — translated and compiled from the original, without full verbatim translation.